Top News

On May 10, 2025, the world witnessed a familiar pattern in South Asian geopolitics: Pakistan, after agreeing to a ceasefire, immediately violated it, only to later portray itself as the aggrieved party.

The Ceasefire Agreement and Immediate Violation
Earlier that day, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a "full and immediate ceasefire" between India and Pakistan, following intensive negotiations mediated by the United States. The agreement was set to take effect at 5 PM IST, halting all military operations on land, air, and sea. However, within hours, reports emerged of explosions and drone activity in Jammu and Kashmir, indicating that Pakistan had violated the ceasefire. Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri confirmed these violations, stating that the Indian armed forces were responding accordingly.

The Pattern of Provocation and Victimhood
This incident is part of a recurring strategy employed by Pakistan. After agreeing to ceasefires or engaging in diplomatic talks, Pakistan often resorts to covert actions—such as cross-border attacks or supporting proxy groups—to destabilize the region. Once India retaliates, Pakistan positions itself as the victim, garnering international sympathy and deflecting attention from its provocations.
Following the May 10 violation, Pakistan's leadership quickly accused India of aggression. Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar reiterated Pakistan's commitment to peace, despite the breach. China's immediate support further bolstered Pakistan's narrative, with Beijing reaffirming its stance on Pakistan's sovereignty.

IMF's Role and International Accountability
Amidst escalating tensions, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a $1.4 billion loan to Pakistan on May 9, 2025. India expressed concerns that these funds could be diverted to support cross-border terrorism, leading to its abstention during the IMF vote. Critics argue that such financial support emboldens Pakistan's military actions rather than promoting economic reform.

The Need for Global Accountability
The international community must recognize and address Pakistan's recurring pattern of provocation followed by victimization. While global powers and institutions continue to mediate and provide support, they must also hold Pakistan accountable for its actions. Until this cycle is broken, the region will remain vulnerable to instability and conflict.

India's Response and Declaration
In response to these violations, Indian officials have reiterated the country's zero-tolerance policy towards terrorism. External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar emphasized that India would continue to maintain a firm and uncompromising stance against terrorism in all its forms and manifestations . Additionally, government sources confirmed that India has decided to treat any future act of terrorism as an act of war, signaling a potential escalation in its military response to such incidents .

Potential for Escalation
The declaration raises concerns about the possibility of further escalation between the two nuclear-armed neighbors. While the ceasefire agreement was intended to de-escalate tensions, the immediate violations and India's subsequent declaration suggest that the situation remains volatile. Both countries have indicated their willingness to engage in dialogue, with military officials scheduled to speak again soon.